Articles · 2026-10-27

How to check that an AI agent decides like your expert before you buy it

Benchmarks measure models on someone else's test. The question that matters is narrower: does this agent, with this pack, agree with the person whose judgement you trust?

A benchmark score tells you how a model performs on a public test set written by people you have never met. If you are buying an agent to screen invoices, review code or shortlist candidates, the question is different: does it decide the way your best person decides? That can be measured, and the method is cheap enough to run on a phone over a coffee.

The method in five steps

  1. Write synthetic cases. Twenty to fifty short cases of the decision in question. Synthetic means invented: no real customers, no real candidates, no real data. Include obvious yes/no cases, borderline ones, and a few with a planted flaw.
  2. Get the expert’s verdicts. The expert judges every case with a one-line reason. This is the only expensive step, and it is ten minutes on a phone.
  3. Hold out a golden set. Split the cases once and keep the split fixed. The held-out half is the golden set; the agent never sees its verdicts.
  4. Measure the noise floor. Run the same model twice on the golden set without any pack. If the two runs disagree with each other more than 10% of the time, stop: the measurement cannot distinguish the pack’s effect from randomness. We treat that as INDETERMINATE and never show a score.
  5. Measure before and after. Agreement with the expert without the pack, then with it. Publish both. A pack that does not beat the noise floor has not been shown to work.

Three rules that keep the number honest

  • Minimum size. Below 30 golden cases the confidence interval is too wide to mean anything. INDETERMINATE, not a score.
  • Fixed split. If cases move between train and golden, the number drifts upward for free. The split is content-hashed and never changes.
  • Re-measure on model change. A pack verified on one model version says nothing about the next. The page shows the model and the date; when the model changes, the run is repeated.

What the number is not

It is not a certification and it has no legal weight. It is also not a quality score for the model; a model can be excellent and still disagree with your expert, because your expert has rules the model has never seen. That gap is exactly what a pack is supposed to close, and the before/after pair shows whether it did.

Running it yourself

The catalog’s verification runs come from an expert-knowledge engine that automates steps 1, 3, 4 and 5 and leaves steps 2 and the confirmation of extracted rules to the human. The free sample is ten cards. How verification works describes the thresholds; the submit page is where a run starts.

Want this measured for your pack?

Every verification run starts with a free 10-card sample.

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